ENIA passed with its Baa3 rating. See the news below:
New York, December 19, 2019 — Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s“) today changed to positive from stable the outlook on Enel Américas S.A. (ENIA). Moody’s also affirmed the ‘Baa3‘ senior unsecured rating of ENIA.Dec 19, 2019
Criterion #2: Cash Flow Assessment
A strong cash flow allows a company to scale its operations and develop innovative products. It provides the means to fund dividend payouts . We look for Net Income growing at 5-10% per year (from Income Statement) – we also prefer stable or growing Operating Cash flow (From Cash Flow Statement).
We may use financial data from morningstar.
ENIA:
Net Income:
2017
2018
2019
TTM
3-Yr Trend
0.71
1.20
1.61
1.61
Increase every year
Operating cash flow: ?
Not found in morning star for the last 3 years somehow.
Criterion #3: Cash & Cash Equivalents
We prefer a company with consistent growth in cash and cash equivalents, as seen from Balance Sheets from financial web sites such as morning star.
ENIA:
2017
2018
2019
Q4 2019
1.58
2.05
2.04
2.04
Criterion #4: Debt Repayment Capacity
We prefer a company with a debt coverage ratio of at least 3:1.
We can use data from morning star.
debt coverage ratio = Net Income / (Interest Expenses + Other Payments)
Other payments could be principle, sinking, lease payments etc.
Interest Coverage is another ratio similar to debt coverage ratio above. The ratio is calculated by dividing a company’s earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by the company’s interest expenses for the same period.
Per WSJ, as of 09/11/2020, ENIA’s Interest Coverage is 3.29. PASSED.
ROE for the last 3 or more years is 12% or higher.
TTM ROE is at least 15%. Use financial data from morningstar/Key Ratios/Profitability.
During the past 13 years, Enel Americas/ENIA’s highest ROE % was 19.87%. The lowest was 7.46%. And the median was 11.22%. (https://www.gurufocus.com/term/ROE/NYSE:ENIA/ROE–ttm/Enel-Americas)
Enel Americas/ENIA’s return on equity, or ROE TTM, is 11.16% , as of 9/11/2020 (https://www.zacks.com/stock/chart/ENIA/fundamental/return-on-equity-ttm).
Criterion #10: Insider Activity
Buy when insiders are holding or buying more shares. Data can be extracted from:
a. Morningstar/Insiders/Insider Activity
b. Yahoo Finance/Insider Transactions
c. Zacks.com/More Research/Insiders
ENIA: No inside activities for the last 6 months: https://in.finance.yahoo.com/quote/ENIA/insider-transactions/
Criterion #11: Intrinsic value
Buy at or below its instrinsic value because your performance is determined not only by dividends but also capital appreciation.
ENIA: $10.66, current price $7.21 USD as of 09/11/2020. PASSED.
The current share price$44.28of CIEN as of Friday 9/5/2020 is very much overvalued, in my opinion.
By the way, Ciena price target lowered to $37 from $53 at Barclays. Reiterate Underweight.
Barclay’s analyst Tim Long lowered the firms price target on Ciena to$37from $53 and keeps an Underweight weight rating on the shares. The company’s fiscal Q3 beat on sales, margin, and earnings; but guidance surprised to the downside.
So based on the above research, I think $23.74639 is CIEN’s intrinsic value, and the safe price to buy is around $15.50 for the margin of safety.
The current share price$44.28of CIEN as of Friday 9/5/2020 is very much overvalued, in my opinion.
Disclaimer: I am just sharing my information, not suggesting you to buy any stocks or investments. Use the info here at your own risk. Please make your own judgements when making investment decisions.